{"id":11741,"date":"2022-03-08T16:10:24","date_gmt":"2022-03-08T19:10:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/fas-amazonia.org\/?post_type=blogpost&p=11741"},"modified":"2026-03-05T09:28:39","modified_gmt":"2026-03-05T12:28:39","slug":"tragedia-de-petropolis-e-as-mudancas-climaticas","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fas-amazonia.org\/blog-virgilio-viana\/2022\/03\/08\/tragedia-de-petropolis-e-as-mudancas-climaticas\/","title":{"rendered":"Trag\u00e9dia de Petr\u00f3polis e as mudan\u00e7as clim\u00e1ticas"},"content":{"rendered":"

A trag\u00e9dia de Petr\u00f3polis tem muito a nos ensinar. \u00c9 mais um sinal de alarme para despertar toda a sociedade brasileira sobre a necessidade de tratar com seriedade e urg\u00eancia as mudan\u00e7as clim\u00e1ticas causadas pela a\u00e7\u00e3o humana.<\/p>\n

Do ponto de vista cient\u00edfico, podemos dizer que o aumento na frequ\u00eancia e severidade de eventos clim\u00e1ticos extremos est\u00e1 diretamente relacionado com as mudan\u00e7as clim\u00e1ticas globais. A equa\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e9 simples: ou n\u00f3s encaramos de vez o problema ou teremos mais sofrimento humano do que poder\u00edamos ter se n\u00e3o fic\u00e1ssemos parados.<\/p>\n

Infelizmente, se seguirmos no padr\u00e3o atual de polui\u00e7\u00e3o da atmosfera da Terra, os eventos catastr\u00f3ficos aumentar\u00e3o em intensidade e ser\u00e3o cada vez mais comuns. Pesquisas cient\u00edficas sobre as recentes enchentes na Alemanha apontam para um aumento na frequ\u00eancia de eventos extremos de at\u00e9 4 vezes com um aquecimento da temperatura m\u00e9dia global de 2 graus (hoje estamos com pouco mais de 1 grau de aumento). Em outras palavras, a tend\u00eancia \u00e9 piorar. Petr\u00f3polis n\u00e3o \u00e9 um fato isolado, mas sim parte de um processo global que nos apresenta o maior desafio da atualidade.<\/p>\n

Por outro lado, podemos manter acesa a chama da esperan\u00e7a. A ci\u00eancia aponta os caminhos para diminuir o ritmo de aumento na frequ\u00eancia de trag\u00e9dias como a de Petr\u00f3polis. \u00c9 como se estiv\u00e9ssemos a bordo de um navio como o Titanic, caminhando para uma cat\u00e1strofe fulminante, e o capit\u00e3o fosse informado de que, mudando a rota da embarca\u00e7\u00e3o, ele evitaria uma mega cat\u00e1strofe.<\/p>\n

\u00c9 hora de ouvir novamente a mensagem do Papa Francisco, expressa claramente na enc\u00edclica \u201cLaudato si\u2019\u201d<\/a>, que conclama toda a humanidade para uma profunda revolu\u00e7\u00e3o ecol\u00f3gica. Essa mudan\u00e7a nos padr\u00f5es de consumo, modos de vida e sistemas de produ\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e9 urgente.<\/p>\n

S\u00e3o dois caminhos a trilhar: mitiga\u00e7\u00e3o e adapta\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0s mudan\u00e7as clim\u00e1ticas. O primeiro diz respeito \u00e0 redu\u00e7\u00e3o das emiss\u00f5es de poluentes do ar que causam as mudan\u00e7as do clima. Precisamos urgentemente diminuir o uso de combust\u00edveis derivados do petr\u00f3leo, g\u00e1s e carv\u00e3o mineral. Al\u00e9m disso, \u00e9 necess\u00e1rio reduzir as queimadas na natureza e na agricultura. No Brasil, temos que diminuir radicalmente os inc\u00eandios florestais na Amaz\u00f4nia, Cerrado, Pantanal, Caatinga, Mata Atl\u00e2ntica e Pampa. Vale lembrar que a degrada\u00e7\u00e3o da natureza n\u00e3o contribui apenas com as mudan\u00e7as clim\u00e1ticas: afeta tamb\u00e9m a sa\u00fade p\u00fablica, o abastecimento urbano de \u00e1gua, a gera\u00e7\u00e3o de energia hidrel\u00e9trica e a produ\u00e7\u00e3o agropecu\u00e1ria.<\/p>\n

O segundo caminho \u00e9 a adapta\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0s mudan\u00e7as clim\u00e1ticas. Mesmo que fa\u00e7amos a revolu\u00e7\u00e3o ecol\u00f3gica conclamada pelo Papa e embasada pela ci\u00eancia, teremos um aumento nos eventos clim\u00e1ticos extremos. A escolha que temos para o futuro \u00e9 simples: ou teremos um cen\u00e1rio razo\u00e1vel para a vida humana na Terra ou um horizonte catastr\u00f3fico. Em ambos os cen\u00e1rios, ser\u00e1 necess\u00e1rio se adaptar a cheias, secas e ondas de calor e frio mais severas e frequentes. Temos que sair do improviso das emerg\u00eancias para o planejamento de a\u00e7\u00f5es estruturais capazes de criar resili\u00eancia.<\/p>\n

Felizmente, a mesma ci\u00eancia que nos mostra claramente a raiz do problema nos aponta para as solu\u00e7\u00f5es. Precisamos de planos de mitiga\u00e7\u00e3o e adapta\u00e7\u00e3o para o futuro, apoiados por todos os segmentos da sociedade e todas as esferas de governo, com a\u00e7\u00f5es de curto, m\u00e9dio e longo prazo.<\/p>\n

Esses planos devem ser suprapartid\u00e1rios e capazes de resistir a mudan\u00e7as de governos. Afinal, o que est\u00e1 em jogo \u00e9 a possibilidade dos nossos filhos e netos terem uma vida saud\u00e1vel e menos vulner\u00e1vel a trag\u00e9dias como a de Petr\u00f3polis. Vale lembrar que isso se aplica a todos, pobres e ricos, em todos os pa\u00edses. Estamos no mesmo barco: n\u00e3o existe planeta B, apenas o nosso belo e precioso planeta Terra.<\/p>\n

Vamos olhar para a trag\u00e9dia de Petr\u00f3polis como um duro aviso, marcado pelo sofrimento e dor daqueles que perderam a vida, as suas casas e a tranquilidade do sono. Al\u00e9m da necess\u00e1ria solidariedade humana aos impactados pela trag\u00e9dia, temos que deixar a acomoda\u00e7\u00e3o de lado e come\u00e7ar a encarar o maior desafio atual da humanidade: as mudan\u00e7as clim\u00e1ticas.<\/p>\n

\n

Artigo publicado originalmente no Portal A Cr\u00edtica<\/a>, em 24 de fevereiro de 2022<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A trag\u00e9dia de Petr\u00f3polis tem muito a nos ensinar. \u00c9 mais um sinal de alarme para despertar toda a sociedade brasileira sobre a necessidade de tratar com seriedade e urg\u00eancia as mudan\u00e7as clim\u00e1ticas causadas pela a\u00e7\u00e3o humana. Do ponto de vista cient\u00edfico, podemos dizer que o aumento na frequ\u00eancia e severidade de eventos clim\u00e1ticos extremos est\u00e1 diretamente relacionado com as […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":14655,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11741","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-artigos"],"yoast_head":"\nTrag\u00e9dia de Petr\u00f3polis e as mudan\u00e7as clim\u00e1ticas - Blog Virgilio Viana<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"A trag\u00e9dia de Petr\u00f3polis (RJ) \u00e9 um sinal de alerta para a quest\u00e3o das mudan\u00e7as clim\u00e1ticas causadas pela a\u00e7\u00e3o humana.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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